Ambrose edges Villeneuve for Nationwide pole at Montreal

Autoracing Betting Lines

08/28/2010 - Montreal, Canada (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Marcos Ambrose outran Canadian Jacques Villeneuve in the closing minutes of qualifying to take the pole for Sunday's NAPA Auto Parts 200 Nationwide Series race at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve.

Ambrose, who won the most recent road course race in the series three weeks ago at Watkins Glen, NY, set a new track qualifying record at the 2.710-mile, 14-turn course in Montreal with a lap of 1 minute, 40.458 seconds (97.079 m.p.h.) for his second pole of the season and the fourth of his Nationwide career.

"I just made the entire population of Canada really mad with one little Australian," Ambrose jokingly said. "It would have been a great story if Jacques would have been on the pole, but it's a great racetrack, and Jacques is a fierce competitor. I've been a hero of his, watching him do all of his [Formula One] and IndyCar stuff, so to be matched up with him on the front row tomorrow is really going to be exciting for us."

Ambrose has led the most laps in the first three races at Montreal, but victory has eluded him here.

Villeneuve and Ambrose ran in the eighth and final group in qualifying. Both drivers swapped the provisional pole position before Ambrose topped Villeneuve on his final lap.

"I just knew the second lap was not quick enough, and I needed to put a good one in," Villeneuve said. "I pushed a little too hard in the hairpin, and then lost a few tenths [of a second] there. It was close, but it was fun. This track is where you can lose a lot of time with the tiniest mistake."

The Montreal track is named after Villeneuve's late father.

Joey Logano qualified third, followed by Carl Edwards and Boris Said.

Jason Leffler, Paul Menard, Brad Keselowski, the current points leader, Max Papis and Brad Coleman completed the top-10.

Keselowski holds a 313-point lead over Edwards.

Stanton Barrett, Kevin O'Connell and Pierre Bourque failed to qualify.

The 200-mile race at Montreal is scheduled to start shortly after 2:30 p.m. (et).

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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

Football Betting

In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

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